Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blackhawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 5-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Avalanche at Blackhawks
The Avalanche visit the Blackhawks at United Center in Chicago, IL in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Blackhawks a 51% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Avalanche will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Blackhawks (medium): Blackhawks are 5-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Avalanche (low): Blackhawks ELO 1435 vs Avalanche ELO 1539 (diff: -104)
- Recent Form favors the Avalanche (low): Avalanche (5-4) in better form than Blackhawks (3-6)
is slightly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Avalanche
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 51% win probability, while Avalanche has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.