NBA2026-27 season
Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans
Head-to-head win probability for NBA. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
No 2026-27 meetings yet.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
—
No decided games this season
Meetings graded
0
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Miami Heat
- Injuries — Heat healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Warriors 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Heat offense (108.5 PPG) outpaces Warriors (106.5 PPG)
New Orleans Pelicans
- Home Field Advantage — Pelicans are 1-1 at home this season; Timberwolves are 5-2 on the road
- Injuries — Pelicans less affected by injuries: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Timberwolves 1 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Timberwolves players matter more
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.