Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns
Utah Jazz 69% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Jazz:
- Defensive Efficiency. Jazz defense (107.7 Opp PPG) better than Suns (113.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. Jazz offense (111.3 PPG) outpaces Suns (107.2 PPG)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Jazz defeated the Suns 119-116.
Our model predicted the Jazz would win with 69% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Jazz and was a major factor: Jazz defense (107.7 Opp PPG) better than Suns (113.5 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Jazz and was a major factor: Jazz offense (111.3 PPG) outpaces Suns (107.2 PPG)
- ELO Rating favored the Suns and was a notable factor: Suns ELO 1510 vs Jazz ELO 1366 (diff: +144)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Suns have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Jazz have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Jazz won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Utah Jazz
- ELO RatingFavors Phoenix Suns
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Phoenix Suns
- InjuriesFavors Phoenix Suns
- Rest DaysFavors Phoenix Suns
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Jazz defense (107.7 Opp PPG) better than Suns (113.5 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Jazz offense (111.3 PPG) outpaces Suns (107.2 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Suns turnover differential (+0) vs Jazz (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Jazz
Suns
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Suns has a 31% win probability, while Jazz has a 69% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ.