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Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rockets logo
Rockets
Houston
140
vs
Jazz logo
Jazz
Utah
106
HOU 74%26% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueToyota Center (Houston)
Houston, TX

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jazz (away)
Rockets (home)
26%
Win probability
74%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rockets defeated the Jazz 140-106.

Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 74% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.8 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Jazz and was a notable factor: Jazz offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Rockets and was a notable factor: Rockets (43-27) in better form than Jazz (21-50)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rockets won 140-106

Rockets won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rockets at 74%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
HOU
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours UTA|Favours HOU

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Rockets

Our Model74%

Jazz

Our Model26%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Jazz (124.8 Opp PPG)

Rockets

Offensive Efficiency

Jazz offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)

Jazz

Recent Form

Rockets (43-27) in better form than Jazz (21-50)

Rockets

Turnover Differential

Rockets turnover differential (+0) vs Jazz (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/3/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Jazz

Ace BaileyG
Isaiah CollierG
Keyonte GeorgeG
Hayden GrayG
Elijah HarklessG

Rockets

Aaron HolidayG
Josh OkogieG
JD DavisonG
Tristen NewtonG
Amen ThompsonG

Frequently Asked Questions

Rockets has a 74% win probability, while Jazz has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Toyota Center (Houston) in Houston, TX.

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