Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings
Phoenix Suns 78% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Suns:
- Defensive Efficiency. Suns defense (111.3 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.1 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form. Suns (34-26) in better form than Kings (14-47)
- Offensive Efficiency. Suns offense (112.1 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.4 PPG)
What would change the call
Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHX 57% (−21)
- If the recent-form edge were neutral: PHX 68% (−10)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHX 69% (−9)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHX 76% (−2)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Suns defeated the Kings 114-103.
Our model predicted the Suns would win with 78% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Suns and was a major factor: Suns defense (111.3 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.1 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Suns and was a notable factor: Suns (34-26) in better form than Kings (14-47)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Suns and was a contributing factor: Suns offense (112.1 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.4 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Suns won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Phoenix Suns
- Recent FormFavors Phoenix Suns
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Phoenix Suns
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Sacramento Kings
- Rest DaysNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Suns defense (111.3 Opp PPG) better than Kings (121.1 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Suns (34-26) in better form than Kings (14-47)
Offensive Efficiency
Suns offense (112.1 PPG) outpaces Kings (110.4 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Kings turnover differential (+0) vs Suns (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Suns
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 22% win probability, while Suns has a 78% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.