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Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Pacers logo
Pacers
Indiana
0
vs
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
0
IND 52%48% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Indiana Pacers 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Pacers:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Pacers offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage. Pacers are 1-2 at home this season; 76ers are 1-2 on the road

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VenueGainbridge Fieldhouse
Indianapolis, IN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

76ers (away)
Pacers (home)
48%
Win probability
52%
1
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

76ers at Pacers

The 76ers visit the Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the Pacers a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The 76ers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the Pacers (high): Pacers offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.0 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Pacers (medium): Pacers are 1-2 at home this season; 76ers are 1-2 on the road
Pacers52%

is slightly favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors IND

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Indiana Pacers
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Indiana Pacers
  • ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
IND
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours PHI|Favours IND

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Pacers offense (123.0 PPG) outpaces 76ers (110.0 PPG)

Pacers

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.0 Opp PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/23/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

76ers

Anfernee SimonsG
Caleb LoveG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Rayan RupertG
Jaylen BrownG

Pacers

Kobe BrownG
Tyrese HaliburtonG
Quenton JacksonG
T.J. McConnellG
Andrew NembhardG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pacers has a 52% win probability, while 76ers has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.

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