Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers head-to-head
Philadelphia 76ers 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:
- Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.0 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (106.0 PPG)
- ELO Rating. Cavaliers ELO 1513 vs 76ers ELO 1542 (diff: -28)
What would change the call
Win probability if a leading factor were even
- If the defensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 42% (−19)
- If the injury edge were neutral: PHI 74% (+13)
- If the offensive efficiency edge were neutral: PHI 48% (−13)
- If the home-field edge were neutral: PHI 67% (+6)
Win probability movement
CLE home win probability as the model updated before the game
Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
76ers at Cavaliers
The 76ers visit the Cavaliers at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH in 2026-27 NBA regular season play.
Our model gives the 76ers a 61% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. For the Cavaliers to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favors the Cavaliers (high): Cavaliers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (106.0 PPG)
- The 76ers are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- InjuriesFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cleveland Cavaliers
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Cavaliers
76ers
Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Cavaliers (114.0 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
76ers offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Cavaliers (106.0 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Cavaliers turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)
Injuries
Cavaliers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
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Injury Report
Cavaliers
No injuries reported
76ers
Key Players
76ers
Cavaliers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
More games
Next and previous games for each team, plus others from this date. Win probabilities use the same display assessment as the game page.
Cleveland Cavaliers
- Previous game68%OKC win probability
- Next game54%CLE win probability
Philadelphia 76ers
- Previous game75%DET win probability
- Next game-No model yet
Other games on Nov 7, 2026
- 87%BOS win probability
- 92%ATL win probability
- 77%MIN win probability
- 76%TOR win probability
Frequently Asked Questions
Cavaliers has a 39% win probability, while 76ers has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH.