Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rockets:
- Offensive Efficiency. Rockets offense (125.0 PPG) outpaces Thunder (115.0 PPG)
- Injuries. Rockets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Thunder 1 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Rockets are 0-1 at home this season; Thunder are 0-1 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rockets defeated the Thunder 116-89.
Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets offense (125.0 PPG) outpaces Thunder (115.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Thunder and was a major factor: Thunder defense (117.2 Opp PPG) better than Rockets (124.5 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Thunder 1 out, 0 doubtful
- The Thunder are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rockets won in a blowout
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Houston Rockets
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Oklahoma City Thunder
- InjuriesFavors Houston Rockets
- ELO RatingFavors Oklahoma City Thunder
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Houston Rockets
- Rest DaysFavors Oklahoma City Thunder
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Rockets offense (125.0 PPG) outpaces Thunder (115.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Thunder defense (117.2 Opp PPG) better than Rockets (124.5 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Rockets turnover differential (+0) vs Thunder (+0)
Injuries
Rockets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Thunder 1 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Thunder
Rockets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Rockets has a 63% win probability, while Thunder has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Toyota Center (Houston) in Houston, TX.