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New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers

NBAregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
0
PHI 81%19% NYK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia 76ers 81% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:

  • Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (100.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.0 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 2-1 at home this season; Knicks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)
76ers (home)
19%
Win probability
81%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Knicks at 76ers

The Knicks visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the 76ers a 81% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. The Knicks will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (100.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (medium): 76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.0 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the 76ers (medium): 76ers are 2-1 at home this season; Knicks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
76ers81%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors PHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK
PHI
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours NYK|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

76ers

Our Model81%

Knicks

Our Model19%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

76ers offense (110.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (100.0 PPG)

76ers

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (103.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (106.0 Opp PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/23/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Knicks

Bruce BrownG
Josh HartG
Jose AlvaradoG
Kevin McCullar Jr.G
Landry ShametG

76ers

Jaylen BrownG
Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Rayan RupertG

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 81% win probability, while Knicks has a 19% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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