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Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Spurs logo
Spurs
San Antonio
133
vs
Timberwolves logo
Timberwolves
Minnesota
95
SAS 70%30% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueFrost Bank Center
San Antonio, TX

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Timberwolves (away)
Spurs (home)
30%
Win probability
70%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Spurs defeated the Timberwolves 133-95.

Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 70% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.8 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Timberwolves (43-28)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Spurs won 133-95

Spurs won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Spurs at 70%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
SAS
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Offensive Efficiency
Favours MIN|Favours SAS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Spurs

Our Model70%

Timberwolves

Our Model30%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/6/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Timberwolves

Bones HylandG
Ayo DosunmuG
Anthony EdwardsG
Zyon PullinG
Donte DiVincenzoG

Spurs

Jordan McLaughlinG
Dylan HarperG
De'Aaron FoxG
Devin VassellG
Stephon CastleG

Frequently Asked Questions

Spurs has a 70% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 30% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX.

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