Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Timberwolves defeated the Spurs 104-102.
Our model predicted the Spurs would win with 69% confidence, but the Timberwolves pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Spurs and was a notable factor: Spurs defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Timberwolves (114.8 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Spurs and was a contributing factor: Spurs (53-18) in better form than Timberwolves (43-28)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Timberwolves won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Spurs
Timberwolves
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Key Players
Timberwolves
Spurs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Spurs has a 69% win probability, while Timberwolves has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX.