Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hornets defeated the Heat 127-126.
Our model predicted the Hornets would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Hornets and was a major factor: Hornets defense (112.1 Opp PPG) better than Heat (117.2 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Heat and was a major factor: Heat offense (120.3 PPG) outpaces Hornets (116.0 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Hornets and was a notable factor: Hornets are 0-0 at home this season
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hornets won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Hornets defense (112.1 Opp PPG) better than Heat (117.2 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Heat offense (120.3 PPG) outpaces Hornets (116.0 PPG)
Recent Form
Similar form: Hornets (37-34) vs Heat (38-33)
Turnover Differential
Hornets turnover differential (+0) vs Heat (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
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Key Players
Heat
Hornets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Hornets has a 60% win probability, while Heat has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC.