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Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Mavericks logo
Mavericks
Dallas
149
vs
Bulls logo
Bulls
Chicago
128
DAL 50%50% CHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bulls (away)
Mavericks (home)
50%
Win probability
50%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Mavericks defeated the Bulls 149-128.

Our model predicted the Mavericks would win with 50% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Bulls and was a notable factor: Bulls offense (115.8 PPG) outpaces Mavericks (113.3 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Mavericks and was a contributing factor: Mavericks defense (118.7 Opp PPG) better than Bulls (120.2 Opp PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Mavericks and was a contributing factor: Mavericks are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Mavericks won 149-128

Mavericks won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Mavericks at 50%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI
DAL
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Favours CHI|Favours DAL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/12/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Bulls

Collin SextonG
Mac McClungG
Josh GiddeyG
Rob DillinghamG
Anfernee SimonsG

Mavericks

Max ChristieG
Klay ThompsonG
John PoulakidasG
Brandon WilliamsG
Kyrie IrvingG

Frequently Asked Questions

Mavericks has a 50% win probability, while Bulls has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX.

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