MLB2026 season
Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Tue, Mar 17, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
2 of 2 decided games
Meetings graded
2
2026
Correct calls
2
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
Philadelphia Phillies
- Injuries — Phillies healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Braves 10 out, 0 doubtful
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