PlayDecoded
Menu
MLB2026 season

Los Angeles Angels vs San Diego Padres

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Apr 19, 2026

Angels logo
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
1
vs
Padres logo
SD
San Diego Padres
2
LAA 55%45% SD
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
25%
1 of 4 decided games
Meetings graded
4
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Los Angeles Angels
  • Injuries — Angels healthier (10 out, 0 doubtful) vs Mariners (12 out, 0 doubtful)
San Diego Padres
  • Injuries — Padres healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Brewers 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage — Padres are 46-31 at home this season; Brewers are 42-31 on the road

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.