MLB2026 season

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, Jul 2, 2026

Kansas City Royals

Tampa Bay Rays

KC 54%46% TB

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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

TB at KC
Thu, Jul 2, 2026
KC 54%
TB 5–2
TB at KC
Wed, Jul 1, 2026
KC 54%
TB 4–0
TB at KC
Tue, Jun 30, 2026
KC 54%
TB 10–4
KC at TB
Thu, Jun 25, 2026
TB 56%
TB 2–13
KC at TB
Wed, Jun 24, 2026
TB 56%
TB 3–5
KC at TB
Tue, Jun 23, 2026
TB 56%
KC 12–5
KC at TB
Mon, Jun 22, 2026
TB 56%
KC 2–1

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate

29%

2 of 7 decided games

Meetings graded

2026

Correct calls

Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.