MLB2026 season

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Jun 21, 2026

Kansas City Royals

STL

St. Louis Cardinals

KC 55%45% STL

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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

STL at KC
Sun, Jun 21, 2026
KC 55%
STL 12–10
STL at KC
Fri, Jun 19, 2026
KC 55%
KC 5–6
STL at KC
Thu, Jun 18, 2026
KC 55%
KC 6–14
KC at STL
Sun, May 17, 2026
STL 55%
KC 2–0
KC at STL
Sat, May 16, 2026
STL 55%
STL 2–4
KC at STL
Fri, May 15, 2026
STL 55%
STL 4–5

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate

67%

4 of 6 decided games

Meetings graded

2026

Correct calls

Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.