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St. Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
Royals logo
Royals
Kansas City
0
vs
Cardinals logo
Cardinals
St. Louis
0
KC 55%45% STL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Kansas City Royals 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Royals:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

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VenueKauffman Stadium
Kansas City, Missouri

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cardinals (away)
Royals (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Royals55%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors KC

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Kansas City Royals
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

STL
KC
Home Field Advantage
Favours STL|Favours KC

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/19/2026, 8:45:02 AM

Key Players

Cardinals

Kyle LeahySP
Andre PallanteSP
Hunter DobbinsSP
Matthew LiberatoreSP
Michael McGreevySP

Royals

Noah CameronSP
Seth LugoSP
Stephen KolekSP
Michael WachaSP
Bobby Witt Jr.SS

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Royals has a 55% win probability, while Cardinals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.

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