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MLB2026 season

Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Apr 19, 2026

Astros logo
HOU
Houston Astros
5
vs
Cardinals logo
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
7
HOU 55%45% STL
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
33%
2 of 6 decided games
Meetings graded
6
2026
Correct calls
2
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Houston Astros
  • Home Field Advantage — Astros are 37-38 at home this season; Chicago White Sox are 31-43 on the road
St. Louis Cardinals
  • Injuries — Cardinals healthier (6 out, 0 doubtful) vs Brewers (6 out, 0 doubtful)

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