PlayDecoded
Menu

St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Astros logo
Astros
Houston
2
vs
Cardinals logo
Cardinals
St. Louis
3
HOU 55%45% STL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueCACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
Palm Beach, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cardinals (away)
Astros (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Cardinals defeated the Astros 3-2.

Our model predicted the Astros would win with 55% confidence, but the Cardinals pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Astros and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Astros (0 out) vs Cardinals (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Cardinals won 2-3

Cardinals won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Astros at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

STL
HOU
Home Field Advantage
Favours STL|Favours HOU

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/22/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Cardinals

Andre PallanteSP
Kyle LeahySP
Matthew LiberatoreSP
Dustin MaySP
Michael McGreevySP

Astros

Mike BurrowsSP
Peter LambertSP
Spencer ArrighettiSP
Tatsuya ImaiSP
Cesar SalazarC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Astros has a 55% win probability, while Cardinals has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches in Palm Beach, Florida.

View all MLB games