MLB2026 season
Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Wed, Jul 1, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- DET at NYYWed, Jul 1, 2026NYY 55%DET 6–2
- DET at NYYTue, Jun 30, 2026NYY 55%DET 9–3
- DET at NYYMon, Jun 29, 2026NYY 49%DET 7–3
- NYY at DETWed, Jun 24, 2026DET 55%NYY 4–2
- NYY at DETTue, Jun 23, 2026DET 55%NYY 4–3
- NYY at DETMon, Jun 22, 2026DET 55%DET 3–5
- NYY at DETSat, Mar 21, 2026DET 55%DET 1–3
- DET at NYYSun, Mar 15, 2026NYY 55%DET 12–1
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
38%
3 of 8 decided games
Meetings graded
8
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Detroit Tigers
- Defensive Efficiency — Tigers pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Pirates (4.6 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Tigers are 36-32 at home this season; Pirates are 31-40 on the road
- ELO Rating — Tigers ELO 1529 vs Pirates ELO 1496 (diff: +33)
New York Yankees
- Defensive Efficiency — Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Rays (4.0 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Yankees are 42-30 at home this season; Rays are 33-40 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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