New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
DET 55%45% NYY
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Detroit Tigers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Tigers:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Yankees (away)
Tigers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Tigers55%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors DET
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Tigers
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
NYY
DET
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYY|Favours DET
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/21/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Yankees
Cam SchlittlerSP
Will WarrenSP
Ryan WeathersSP
Carlos RodonSP
Gerrit ColeSP
Tigers
Casey MizeSP
Troy MeltonSP
Framber ValdezSP
Tarik SkubalSP
Ty MaddenSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Tigers has a 55% win probability, while Yankees has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan.