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MLB2026 season

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, May 7, 2026

Rockies logo
COL
Colorado Rockies
6
vs
Mets logo
NYM
New York Mets
2
COL 55%45% NYM
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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
17%
1 of 6 decided games
Meetings graded
6
2026
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Colorado Rockies
  • Injuries — Rockies healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Chicago White Sox (9 out, 0 doubtful)
New York Mets
  • Defensive Efficiency — Mets pitching/defense (4.5 RA/G) better than Nationals (5.0 RA/G)

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