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New York Mets at Colorado Rockies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
6
vs
Mets logo
Mets
New York
2
COL 55%45% NYM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCoors Field
Denver, Colorado

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mets (away)
Rockies (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rockies defeated the Mets 6-2.

Our model predicted the Rockies would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Rockies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Rockies (0 out) vs Mets (0 out)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Rockies (back-to-back) vs Mets (back-to-back)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rockies won 6-2

Rockies won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rockies at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYM
COL
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYM|Favours COL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/7/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Mets

David PetersonSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Christian ScottSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Nolan McLeanSP

Rockies

Tomoyuki SuganoSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Blas CastanoSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Jose QuintanaSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rockies has a 55% win probability, while Mets has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado.

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