MLB2026 season
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jul 2, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- CIN at MILThu, Jul 2, 2026MIL 57%CIN 7–2
- CIN at MILWed, Jul 1, 2026MIL 57%MIL 2–4
- CIN at MILTue, Jun 30, 2026MIL 57%MIL 2–7
- CIN at MILMon, Jun 29, 2026MIL 57%MIL 3–5
- MIL at CINWed, Jun 24, 2026CIN 53%MIL 6–5
- MIL at CINTue, Jun 23, 2026CIN 53%MIL 2–0
- MIL at CINMon, Jun 22, 2026CIN 53%MIL 2–1
- CIN at MILTue, Mar 24, 2026MIL 55%MIL 1–4
- CIN at MILMon, Mar 23, 2026MIL 55%MIL 1–9
- MIL at CINWed, Mar 11, 2026—CIN 3–6
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
56%
5 of 9 decided games
Meetings graded
9
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Cincinnati Reds
- Injuries — Reds healthier (7 out, 0 doubtful) vs Blue Jays (14 out, 0 doubtful)
- Offensive Efficiency — Reds offense (4.1 R/G) outpaces Blue Jays (4.0 R/G)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Injuries — Brewers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Rays 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Offensive Efficiency — Brewers offense (5.1 R/G) outpaces Rays (4.5 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Brewers are 54-26 at home this season; Rays are 36-42 on the road
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