MLB2026 season
Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
CWS
Chicago White Sox
8
vs
DET
Detroit Tigers
1
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- DET at CWSSun, Sep 20, 2026—CWS 1–8
- DET at CWSSat, Sep 19, 2026—CWS 1–3
- DET at CWSFri, Sep 18, 2026—DET 11–8
- DET at CWSThu, Sep 17, 2026—CWS 1–3
- CWS at DETSun, Jun 21, 2026DET 55%DET 4–5
- CWS at DETSat, Jun 20, 2026DET 55%DET 1–4
- CWS at DETFri, Jun 19, 2026DET 62%DET 3–4
- DET at CWSSun, May 31, 2026CWS 55%CWS 1–2
- DET at CWSSat, May 30, 2026CWS 55%CWS 1–7
- DET at CWSFri, May 29, 2026CWS 55%CWS 3–4
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
6 of 6 decided games
Meetings graded
6
2026
Correct calls
6
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago White Sox
- Offensive Efficiency — Chicago White Sox offense (4.8 R/G) outpaces Guardians (4.2 R/G)
Detroit Tigers
- Defensive Efficiency — Tigers pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Pirates (4.6 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Tigers are 36-32 at home this season; Pirates are 31-40 on the road
- ELO Rating — Tigers ELO 1529 vs Pirates ELO 1496 (diff: +33)
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