MLB2026 season
Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
40%
2 of 5 decided games
Meetings graded
5
2026
Correct calls
2
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Chicago Cubs
- Offensive Efficiency — Cubs offense (5.2 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.5 R/G)
New York Yankees
- Defensive Efficiency — Yankees pitching/defense (3.7 RA/G) better than Rays (4.0 RA/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Yankees are 42-30 at home this season; Rays are 33-40 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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