MLB2026 season
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
5
vs
BOS
Boston Red Sox
1
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- BOS at TBSun, Sep 20, 2026—TB 1–5
- BOS at TBSat, Sep 19, 2026—TB 1–2
- BOS at TBFri, Sep 18, 2026—BOS 4–2
- TB at BOSSun, Jul 19, 2026BOS 54%BOS 1–6
- TB at BOSSat, Jul 18, 2026BOS 54%BOS 6–7
- TB at BOSFri, Jul 17, 2026BOS 54%BOS 3–5
- TB at BOSFri, Jul 17, 2026BOS 54%BOS 0–10
- BOS at TBWed, Jun 10, 2026TB 56%TB 5–7
- BOS at TBTue, Jun 9, 2026TB 56%TB 3–4
- BOS at TBMon, Jun 8, 2026TB 56%TB 1–3
- TB at BOSSun, May 10, 2026BOS 55%TB 4–1
- TB at BOSFri, May 8, 2026BOS 55%BOS 0–2
- TB at BOSThu, May 7, 2026BOS 55%TB 8–4
- BOS at TBFri, Mar 20, 2026TB 55%TB 0–2
- TB at BOSFri, Mar 13, 2026—BOS 6–7
- TB at BOSSat, Mar 7, 2026—BOS 0–2
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
82%
9 of 11 decided games
Meetings graded
11
2026
Correct calls
9
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Boston Red Sox
- ELO Rating — Yankees ELO 1533 vs Red Sox ELO 1567 (diff: -35)
Tampa Bay Rays
No recent factors yet.
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