MLB2026 season
Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, May 24, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
- MIN at BOSSun, May 24, 2026BOS 54%MIN 6–5
- MIN at BOSSat, May 23, 2026BOS 54%MIN 4–2
- MIN at BOSFri, May 22, 2026BOS 52%MIN 8–6
- BOS at MINWed, Apr 15, 2026MIN 55%BOS 9–5
- BOS at MINTue, Apr 14, 2026MIN 55%MIN 0–6
- BOS at MINMon, Apr 13, 2026MIN 55%MIN 6–13
- BOS at MINTue, Mar 24, 2026MIN 55%MIN 6–15
- MIN at BOSMon, Mar 23, 2026BOS 55%MIN 9–6
- MIN at BOSThu, Mar 19, 2026BOS 55%BOS 2–4
- MIN at BOSSun, Mar 15, 2026BOS 55%BOS 2–7
- BOS at MINThu, Mar 12, 2026—MIN 5–8
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10 decided games
Meetings graded
10
2026
Correct calls
5
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Boston Red Sox
- ELO Rating — Yankees ELO 1533 vs Red Sox ELO 1567 (diff: -35)
Minnesota Twins
- Offensive Efficiency — Twins offense (4.6 R/G) outpaces Rangers (4.2 R/G)
- Home Field Advantage — Twins are 38-31 at home this season; Rangers are 30-38 on the road
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