MLB2026 season

Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Jul 19, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

HOU 55%45% BAL

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This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

BAL at HOU
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
HOU 55%
BAL 5–2
BAL at HOU
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
HOU 55%
BAL 4–2
BAL at HOU
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
HOU 55%
BAL 3–2
HOU at BAL
Thu, Apr 30, 2026
BAL 55%
HOU 11–5
HOU at BAL
Thu, Apr 30, 2026
BAL 55%
BAL 3–10
HOU at BAL
Tue, Apr 28, 2026
BAL 55%
BAL 3–5
BAL at HOU
Tue, Mar 10, 2026
HOU 56%
HOU 6–7

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate

43%

3 of 7 decided games

Meetings graded

2026

Correct calls

Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.