PlayDecoded
Menu
MLB2026 season

Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Sun, Apr 19, 2026

Guardians logo
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
8
vs
Orioles logo
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
4
CLE 55%45% BAL
Open the game page

This season

2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
75%
3 of 4 decided games
Meetings graded
4
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Baltimore Orioles

No recent factors yet.

Cleveland Guardians

No recent factors yet.

Get the weekly model report card

Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.