MLB2026 season
Athletics vs Chicago Cubs
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Thu, Jun 4, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
60%
3 of 5 decided games
Meetings graded
5
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Athletics
- Home Field Advantage — Oakland Athletics are 31-42 at home this season; Astros are 36-33 on the road
Chicago Cubs
- Offensive Efficiency — Cubs offense (5.2 R/G) outpaces Padres (4.5 R/G)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.