Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Blue Jays (away)
Mets (home)
47%
Win probability
53%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Mets defeated the Blue Jays 8-1.
Our model predicted the Mets would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Blue Jays
Simeon Woods RichardsonSP
Dylan CeaseSP
Patrick CorbinSP
Kevin GausmanSP
Trey YesavageSP
Mets
Kodai SengaSP
Zach ThorntonSP
Jonah TongSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 53% win probability, while Blue Jays has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Clover Park in Port St. Lucie, Florida.