Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
CHC 54%46% TOR
Chicago Cubs 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Cubs:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Blue Jays (away)
Cubs (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Cubs54%
has a slight edge to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors CHC
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Cubs
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
TOR
CHC
Home Field Advantage
Favours TOR|Favours CHC
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/19/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Blue Jays
Hayden JuengerSP
Simeon Woods RichardsonSP
Max ScherzerSP
Dylan CeaseSP
Patrick CorbinSP
Cubs
Colin ReaSP
Shota ImanagaSP
Javier AssadSP
Jameson TaillonSP
Edward CabreraSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Cubs has a 54% win probability, while Blue Jays has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois.