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Seattle Mariners at Oakland Oakland Athletics

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
vs
Mariners logo
Mariners
Seattle
6
OAK 55%45% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueHohokam Stadium
Mesa, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mariners (away)
Oakland Athletics (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Mariners defeated the Oakland Athletics 6-4.

Our model predicted the Oakland Athletics would win with 55% confidence, but the Mariners pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Oakland Athletics and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Mariners won 4-6

Mariners won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Oakland Athletics at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
OAK
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours OAK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/19/2026, 8:45:01 AM

Key Players

Mariners

Logan GilbertSP
Luis CastilloSP
George KirbySP
Bryce MillerSP
Bryan WooSP

Oakland Athletics

Luis SeverinoSP
Aaron CivaleSP
J.T. GinnSP
Jacob LopezSP
Jeffrey SpringsSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Oakland Athletics has a 55% win probability, while Mariners has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Hohokam Stadium in Mesa, Arizona.

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