Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
MIA 56%44% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Miami Marlins 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Marlins:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- ELO Rating. Marlins ELO 1500 vs Mariners ELO 1478 (diff: +22)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Mariners (away)
Marlins (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Marlins56%
is favored to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors MIA
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Miami Marlins
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Weather ImpactNeutral
- ELO RatingFavors Miami Marlins
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
SEA
MIA
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours MIA
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 7/6/2026, 8:45:03 AM
Key Players
Mariners
George KirbySP
Luis CastilloSP
Logan GilbertSP
Bryce MillerSP
Bryan WooSP
Marlins
Sandy AlcantaraSP
Eury PerezSP
Max MeyerSP
Ryan GustoSP
Dax FultonSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Marlins has a 56% win probability, while Mariners has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.