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Seattle Mariners at Chicago Chicago White Sox

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
vs
Mariners logo
Mariners
Seattle
1
CWS 55%45% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueRate Field
Chicago, Illinois

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Mariners (away)
Chicago White Sox (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Mariners 2-1.

Our model predicted the Chicago White Sox would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Chicago White Sox and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Chicago White Sox won 2-1

Chicago White Sox won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Chicago White Sox at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
CWS
Home Field Advantage
Favours SEA|Favours CWS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/10/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Mariners

Logan GilbertSP
Luis CastilloSP
George KirbySP
Bryce MillerSP
Bryan WooSP

Chicago White Sox

Sean BurkeSP
Erick FeddeSP
Anthony KaySP
Noah SchultzSP
Davis MartinSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Chicago White Sox has a 55% win probability, while Mariners has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois.

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