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San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rangers logo
Rangers
Texas
22
vs
Padres logo
Padres
San Diego
2
TEX 32%68% SD
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSurprise Stadium
Surprise, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Padres (away)
Rangers (home)
68%
Win probability
32%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rangers defeated the Padres 22-2.

Our model predicted the Padres would win with 68% confidence, but the Rangers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Padres

No player data available

Rangers

Chris PaddackSP
MacKenzie GoreSP
Emiliano TeodoSP
Winston SantosSP
Jack LeiterSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rangers has a 32% win probability, while Padres has a 68% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Surprise Stadium in Surprise, Arizona.

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