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San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rangers logo
Rangers
Texas
22
vs
Padres logo
Padres
San Diego
2
TEX 55%45% SD
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSurprise Stadium
Surprise, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Padres (away)
Rangers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rangers defeated the Padres 22-2.

Our model predicted the Rangers would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Rangers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rangers won 22-2

Rangers won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rangers at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SD
TEX
Home Field Advantage
Favours SD|Favours TEX

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/14/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Padres

No player data available

Rangers

Kumar RockerSP
Jacob deGromSP
Nathan EovaldiSP
MacKenzie GoreSP
Jack LeiterSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rangers has a 55% win probability, while Padres has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Surprise Stadium in Surprise, Arizona.

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