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Pittsburgh Pirates at Tampa Bay Rays

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Rays logo
Rays
Tampa Bay
6
vs
Pirates logo
Pirates
Pittsburgh
1
TB 28%72% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueCharlotte Sports Park
Port Charlotte, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pirates (away)
Rays (home)
72%
Win probability
28%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rays defeated the Pirates 6-1.

Our model predicted the Pirates would win with 72% confidence, but the Rays pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Pirates

Paul SkenesSP
Braxton AshcraftSP
Carmen MlodzinskiSP
Jared JonesSP
Mitch KellerSP

Rays

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rays has a 28% win probability, while Pirates has a 72% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Charlotte Sports Park in Port Charlotte, Florida.

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