Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Pirates (away)
Mets (home)
65%
Win probability
35%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pirates defeated the Mets 5-3.
Our model predicted the Pirates would win with 65% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Key Players
Pirates
Paul SkenesSP
Antwone KellySP
Mitch KellerSP
Braxton AshcraftSP
Bubba ChandlerSP
Mets
Kodai SengaSP
Jonah TongSP
Freddy PeraltaSP
Nolan McLeanSP
Zac ThorntonSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mets has a 35% win probability, while Pirates has a 65% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida.