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Pittsburgh Pirates at Baltimore Orioles

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
5
vs
Pirates logo
Pirates
Pittsburgh
2
BAL 63%37% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueEd Smith Stadium
Sarasota, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pirates (away)
Orioles (home)
37%
Win probability
63%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Orioles defeated the Pirates 5-2.

Our model predicted the Orioles would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Pirates

Antwone KellySP
Jared JonesSP
Noah MurdockSP
Paul SkenesSP
Mitch KellerSP

Orioles

Trevor RogersSP
Trey GibsonSP
Chris BassittSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Orioles has a 63% win probability, while Pirates has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Ed Smith Stadium in Sarasota, Florida.

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