Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Phillies (away)
Yankees (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Phillies won 4-6
Phillies won in a close game
Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Yankees at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
PHI
NYY
Home Field Advantage
Favours PHI|Favours NYY
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/14/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Phillies
Zack WheelerSP
Andrew PainterSP
Aaron NolaSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Yankees
Will WarrenSP
Carlos RodonSP
Cam SchlittlerSP
Ryan WeathersSP
J.C. EscarraC
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Yankees has a 55% win probability, while Phillies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida.