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Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
13
vs
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
6
DET 55%45% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Phillies (away)
Tigers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Tigers defeated the Phillies 13-6.

Our model predicted the Tigers would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Tigers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Tigers won 13-6

Tigers won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Tigers at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
DET
Home Field Advantage
Favours PHI|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/16/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Phillies

Aaron NolaSP
Zack WheelerSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Andrew PainterSP
Jesus LuzardoSP

Tigers

Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jack FlahertySP
Kevin McGonigleSS

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Tigers has a 55% win probability, while Phillies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium in Lakeland, Florida.

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