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Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Orioles logo
Orioles
Baltimore
10
vs
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
8
BAL 58%42% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueEd Smith Stadium
Sarasota, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Phillies (away)
Orioles (home)
42%
Win probability
58%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Orioles defeated the Phillies 10-8.

Our model predicted the Orioles would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Key Players

Phillies

Andrew PainterSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Aaron NolaSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Zack WheelerSP

Orioles

Trevor RogersSP
Dean KremerSP
Chris BassittSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Orioles has a 58% win probability, while Phillies has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Ed Smith Stadium in Sarasota, Florida.

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