PlayDecoded
Menu

Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Phillies logo
Phillies
Philadelphia
4
vs
Tigers logo
Tigers
Detroit
4
PHI 55%45% DET

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueBayCare Ballpark
Clearwater, Florida

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Tigers (away)
Phillies (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Phillies and the Tigers played to a 4-4 draw.

Our model had predicted the Phillies to win with 55% confidence. The game ended in a tie, a relatively rare outcome.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Phillies and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available
  • Injuries was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar injury situations: Phillies (0 out) vs Tigers (0 out)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Tigers won 4-4

Tigers won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Phillies at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
PHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours DET|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/20/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Tigers

Casey MizeSP
Framber ValdezSP
Keider MonteroSP
Jack FlahertySP
Kevin McGonigleSS

Phillies

Aaron NolaSP
Zack WheelerSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Andrew PainterSP
Jesus LuzardoSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Phillies has a 55% win probability, while Tigers has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida.

View all MLB games