Chicago Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Chicago White Sox (away)
Mariners (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Mariners won 5-4
Mariners won in a close game
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Mariners at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
CWS
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Favours CWS|Favours SEA
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/20/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Key Players
Chicago White Sox
Sean BurkeSP
Erick FeddeSP
Anthony KaySP
Noah SchultzSP
Davis MartinSP
Mariners
Logan GilbertSP
Luis CastilloSP
George KirbySP
Bryce MillerSP
Bryan WooSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Mariners has a 55% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington.