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Chicago Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago White Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers head-to-head

MLBregular • 2026 Season
completed
Brewers logo
Brewers
Milwaukee
9
vs
MIL 55%45% CWS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Milwaukee Brewers 55% to win. The biggest signal favoring Brewers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)

What would change the call

Win probability as of kickoff if a leading factor were even

  • If the home-field edge were neutral: MIL 52% (−3)

Win probability movement

MIL home win probability as the model updated before the game

Home win probability movement61%55%50%Mar 26Mar 29

Labels mark updates of 5 points or more, named by the factor that moved most.

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VenueAmerican Family Field
Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Chicago White Sox (away)
Brewers (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Brewers defeated the Chicago White Sox 9-7.

Our model predicted the Brewers would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Brewers and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Weather Impact was neutral and a contributing factor: Weather data not available
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No offensive stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Brewers won 9-7

Brewers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Brewers at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Milwaukee Brewers
  • Weather ImpactNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CWS
MIL
Home Field Advantage
Favours CWS|Favours MIL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/29/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Chicago White Sox

Sean BurkeSP
Davis MartinSP
Anthony KaySP
Hagen SmithSP
Noah SchultzSP

Brewers

Brandon SproatSP
Robert GasserSP
Shane DrohanSP
Kyle HarrisonSP
Jacob MisiorowskiSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Brewers has a 55% win probability, while Chicago White Sox has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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