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Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds

MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Reds logo
Reds
Cincinnati
6
vs
Rockies logo
Rockies
Colorado
8
CIN 55%45% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGoodyear Ballpark
Goodyear, Arizona

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockies (away)
Reds (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rockies defeated the Reds 8-6.

Our model predicted the Reds would win with 55% confidence, but the Rockies pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Reds and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available
  • Recent Form was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent form data available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rockies won 6-8

Rockies won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Reds at 55%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
CIN
Home Field Advantage
Favours COL|Favours CIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/18/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Key Players

Rockies

Tomoyuki SuganoSP
Michael LorenzenSP
Blas CastanoSP
Kyle FreelandSP
Jose QuintanaSP

Reds

Chris PaddackSP
Andrew AbbottSP
Brady SingerSP
Chase BurnsSP
Nick LodoloSP

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Reds has a 55% win probability, while Rockies has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Goodyear Ballpark in Goodyear, Arizona.

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Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds - Mar 18, 2026 - MLB | PlayDecoded