Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
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Guardians at Phillies
The Guardians visit the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania in 2026-2027 MLB regular play.
Our model gives the Phillies a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Guardians will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Phillies (medium): Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- ELO Rating favors the Guardians (low): Phillies ELO 1481 vs Guardians ELO 1513 (diff: -32)
- Recent Form is neutral: No recent form data available
has a slight edge to win
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Guardians
Phillies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Phillies has a 54% win probability, while Guardians has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.