Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
PIT 56%44% CIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Pittsburgh Pirates 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Pirates:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- ELO Rating. Pirates ELO 1514 vs Reds ELO 1490 (diff: +24)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Reds (away)
Pirates (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Pirates56%
is favored to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors PIT
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Pirates
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
CIN
PIT
Home Field Advantage
Favours CIN|Favours PIT
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/24/2026, 8:45:03 AM
Key Players
Reds
Brady SingerSP
Andrew AbbottSP
Chase BurnsSP
Nick LodoloSP
Chris PaddackSP
Pirates
Braxton AshcraftSP
Mitch KellerSP
Bubba ChandlerSP
Paul SkenesSP
Carmen MlodzinskiSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pirates has a 56% win probability, while Reds has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.